Implikasi Perang Israel dan Iran Terhadap Perjanjian Non-Proliferasi Nuklir
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.36733/yusthima.v5i02.12710Keywords:
Dinamika, Nuklir, Israel, Iran, NPTAbstract
Pada bulan Juni 2025 yang lalu, Israel melakukan serangan militer yang disebut sebagai serangan preventif untuk menghancurkan instalasi nuklir Iran dan mencegah Iran mengembangkan senjata nuklir, namun hingga saat ini masih belum ada bukti konkrit yang menyatakan bahwa Iran benar-benar membuat senjata nuklir tersebut. Dimana terdapat perjanjian Internasional yang mengatur terkait dasar tatanan program nuklir global yang bernama The Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT). Penelitian ini menggunakan metode socio-legal, dengan pendekatan kualitatif dan bersumber dari sumber kepustakaan, yang akan membahas bagaimana dinamika konflik antara Iran-Israel hingga implikasinya terhadap tatanan perjanjian NPT. Dapat disimpulkan, telah terjadinya asimetri kedaulatan nuklir antara Israel-Iran. Dimana kapabilitas nuklir milik Israel tidak dipertanyakan atau dipermasalahkan, serta, standar ganda telah terjadi dengan bebasnya negara-negara yang tidak menandatangani NPT, dimana Iran mendapat tekanan secara global akibat program nuklirnya. Hal demikian tentu saja akan menimbulkan efek domino proliferasi berupa erosi kepercayaan terhadap NPT. Sehingga negara-negara merasa tidak percaya lagi terhadap perjanjian nuklir tersebut, hingga berujung pada denunsiasi dan perpecahan rezim
References
Alfiyah, Nur Inna, Dwi Listia Rika Tini, and Wilda Rasaili, Deterrence Strategy Dalam Era Nuklir, Jurnal Public Corner FISIP Universitas Wiraraja, 18.2 (2023), 200.
Anwar, Laraswati Ariadne, ‘Iran Berniat Keluar dari Perjanjian Pelucutan Senjata Nuklir’, kompas.id, 2025 https://www.kompas.id/artikel/iran-berniat-keluar-dari-perjanjian-pelucutan-senjata-nuklir [accessed 28 June 2025]
Bakrie, Connie Rahakundini, Mariane Olivia Delanova, and Yanyan Mochamad Yani, ‘Pengaruh Perang Rusia dan Ukraina terhadap Perekonomian Negara Kawasan Asia Tenggara’, Caraka Prabu: Jurnal Ilmu Pemerintahan, 6.1 (2022), 65–86
BBC News Indonesia, ‘AS Gabung dengan Israel Serang Iran Akan Ciptakan “Malapetaka” – Bagaimana Posisi UK?’, BBC News Indonesia, 2025 https://www.bbc.com/indonesia/articles/cvge015nxjeo [accessed 28 June 2025]
Casey-Maslen, Stuart, Ratification, Acceptance, Approval or Accession (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2023) https://doi.org/10.1093/law/9780192882639.003.0018
CNN Indonesia, ‘Iran Putus Hubungan dengan IAEA Buntut Serangan Israel-AS’, CNN Indonesia, 2025 https://www.cnnindonesia.com/internasional/20250703095806-120-1246353/iran-putus-hubungan-dengan-iaea-buntut-serangan-israel-as [accessed 29 June 2025]
Ega Tirta, Emanuella Bungasmara, ‘Mengenal 3 Fasilitas Nuklir Iran yang Dibom AS: Natanz, Fordow-Isfahan’, CNBC Indonesia, 2025 https://www.cnbcindonesia.com/research/20250623085806-128-643025/mengenal-3-fasilitas-nuklir-iran-yang-dibom-as-natanz-fordow-isfahan [accessed 26 June 2025]
Fatovic, Clement, ‘Emergency’, in The Encyclopedia of Political Thought (2014), pp. 1038–42 https://doi.org/10.1002/9781118474396.wbept0308
Hakim, Muhammad Helmy, ‘Pergeseran Orientasi Penelitian Hukum: Dari Doktrinal ke Sosio-Legal’, Syariah: Jurnal Hukum dan Pemikiran, 16.2 (2016), 108
Horton, Jake, Paul Sargeant, and Robin Levinson King, ‘Bagaimana Cara Pesawat Siluman B-2 Menyerang Fasilitas Nuklir Iran?’, BBC News Indonesia, 2025 https://www.bbc.com/indonesia/articles/clyzx3n849ko [accessed 26 June 2025]
Hussain, Zain, ‘Why The Israeli Policy Of Nuclear Ambiguity is Harmful for Prospects of a WMD Free Zone in the Middle East’, basicint.org, 2019 https://basicint.org/why-the-israeli-policy-of-nuclear-ambiguity-is-harmful-for-prospects-of-a-wmd-free-zone-in-the-middle-east/ [accessed 10 July 2025]
Ikonomou, Pantelis F., ‘Observations, Conclusions, Perspective’, in Global Nuclear Developments (Cham: Springer, 2020), pp. 143–55 https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-46997-9_9
Isal Mawardi, ‘Pakar Nilai Rusia-China Akan Bantu Iran Bila AS Terlibat, Perang Dunia 3?’, detiknews, 2025 https://news.detik.com/berita/d-7976066/pakar-nilai-rusia-china-akan-bantu-iran-bila-as-terlibat-perang-dunia-3 [accessed 29 June 2025]
Khan, Saira, US Exit from the Deal and Tehran’s Intense Proliferation Interest (Cham: Springer Nature, 2024), pp. 213–61 https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-50196-8_10
Khoṭibul Umam, ‘Rivalitas Arab Saudi, Iran, dan Israel di Kawasan Timur Tengah’, Populika, 10.2 (2022), 5–6 https://doi.org/10.37631/populika.v10i2.509
Kristensen, Hans M., and Matt Korda, ‘Israeli Nuclear Weapons, 2021’, Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, 78.1 (2022), 38–50 https://doi.org/10.1080/00963402.2021.2014239
Levina Yustitianingtyas, ‘Masyarakat dan Hukum Internasional (Tinjauan Yuridis Terhadap Perubahan-Perubahan Sosial dalam Masyarakat Internasional)’, Perspektif, 20.2 (2015), 92–93
Merriam-Webster.com, ‘Proliferate’ https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/proliferate [accessed 29 June 2025]
Mikail, Kiki, and Achmad Fatoni, ‘Program Pengembangan Nuklir Iran dan Pengaruhnya terhadap Masyarakat Iran (1957–2006 M)’, Jurnal Studi Sosial dan Politik, 3.1 (2019), 10–11
Müller, Harald, The Future of the Non-Proliferation Treaty (Berlin: Springer, 2018), pp. 139–46 https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-57366-2_22
Ostovar, Afshon, ‘An Undeclared War’, in Wars of Ambition: The United States, Iran, and the Struggle for the Middle East (New York, 2024; online edn, Oxford Academic, 18 July 2024) https://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780190940980.003.0014 [accessed 10 July 2025]
Roomi, Farshad, ‘The Iran–Israel Conflict: An Ultra-Ideological Explanation’, Middle East Policy, 30.2 (2023), 94–109 https://doi.org/10.1111/mepo.12687
Setiawati, Susi, ‘10 Produsen Minyak Terbesar di Dunia: Persaingan AS, Rusia & Iran’, CNBC Indonesia, 2024 https://www.cnbcindonesia.com/research/20241009085819-128-578103/10-produsen-minyak-terbesar-di-dunia-persaingan-as-rusia-iran [accessed 29 June 2025]
Su Bai, ‘North Korea’s Withdrawal from the NPT: Neorealism and Selectorate Theory’, E-International Relations, 2022 https://www.e-ir.info/2022/01/27/north-koreas-withdraw-from-the-npt-neorealism-and-selectorate-theory/ [accessed 29 June 2025]
Syofyan, Ahmad, Hukum Internasional (Bandar Lampung: Pusat Kajian Konstitusi dan Perundang-Undangan Universitas Lampung (PuSKaPu), 2022), p. 2
Tanvir, Rida, and Syed Qandil Abbas, ‘Evolving Balance of Power in the Middle East: Iran–Israel Standoff Shaping Iranian Foreign Policy’, Global Political Review, IX.III (2024), 77–84 https://doi.org/10.31703/gpr.2024(VII-III).08
Tanvir, Rida, Q. Abbas, and W. Ishaque, ‘Iranian Perspective for a Nuclear Free Zone in the Middle East: Challenges and Opportunities’, Global Strategic & Security Studies Review, VI.IV (2021), 28–38 https://doi.org/10.31703/gsssr.2021(VI-IV).03
Tri Andriyani, ‘Konflik Iran dan Israel, Pakar UGM Soroti Potensi Perang Global’, Universitas Gadjah Mada News, 2025 https://ugm.ac.id/id/berita/konflik-iran-dan-israel-pakar-ugm-soroti-potensi-perang-global/ [accessed 10 July 2025]
Tri Lestari, Putri Andriani, Didik Gunawan, and Willy Cahyadi, ‘Prediksi Harga Minyak Mentah WTI dengan Menggunakan Metode Garch dalam Ancaman Perang Dunia III’, Journal of Economics Research and Policy Studies, 5.1 (2025), 185–97 https://doi.org/10.53088/jerps.v5i1.1778
United Nations, The Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (1970)
United Nations Office for Disarmament Affairs, Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) https://disarmament.unoda.org/wmd/nuclear/npt/ [accessed 29 June 2025]
United Nations Office for Disarmament Affairs, Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons: Participants https://treaties.unoda.org/t/npt/participants [accessed 29 June 2025]






